Publications

Karvetski, C. W., Meinel, C., Maxwell, D. T., Lu, Y., Mellers, B. A., & Tetlock, P. E. (2022). What Do Forecasting Rationales Reveal About Thinking Patterns of Top Geopolitical Forecasters?. International Journal of Forecasting, 38(2), 688-704.

Tetlock, P. E., Lu, Y., & Mellers, B. A. (2023). False Dichotomy Alert: Improving Subjective-Probability Estimates vs. Raising Awareness of Systemic Risk. International Journal of Forecasting, 39(2), 1021-1025.

Mellers, B. A., Lu, L., & McCoy, J. P. (2023). Predicting the Future with Humans and AI. Consumer Psychology Review, 6(1), 109-120.

Mellers, B. A., McCoy, J. P., Lu, L., & Tetlock, P. E. (2023). Human and Algorithmic Predictions in Geopolitical Forecasting: Quantifying Uncertainty in Hard-to-Quantify Domains. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 0(0).

Clark, C. J., ... Lu, Y., ... & Wilson, A. (2023). Scientific Censorship by Scientists: A Review and Research Agenda. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120 (48).

Manuscripts under Review

Clark, C. J., Fjeldmark, M., Lu, Y., ... & Tetlock, P. E. Taboos and Self-Censorship Among Psychology Professors. Submitted to Perspectives on Psychological Science.

空白頁: Publications