Publications

Karvetski, C. W., Meinel, C., Maxwell, D. T., Lu, Y., Mellers, B. A., & Tetlock, P. E. (2022). What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters?. International Journal of Forecasting, 38(2), 688-704.

Tetlock, P. E., Lu, Y., & Mellers, B. A. (2022). False dichotomy alert: Improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk. International Journal of Forecasting.

Mellers, B. A., Lu, L., & McCoy, J. P. (2023). Predicting the future with humans and AI. Consumer Psychology Review, 6(1), 109-120.

Working Papers

Mellers, B. A., McCoy, J. P., Lu, Y., Tetlock, P. E. Humans, Algorithms and Geopolitical Forecasting Tournaments: Quantifying Uncertainty in Hard-to-Quantify Domains. Forthcoming in Perspectives on Psychological Science.

Clark, C. J., ... Lu, Y., ... & Wilson, A. Scientific censorship by scientists: A review and research agenda. Submitted to Science.

Clark, C. J., Fjeldmark, M., Lu, Y., ... & Tetlock, P. E. Taboos and Self-Censorship Among Psychology Professors. Submitted to Perspectives.

空白頁: Publications